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The impact of confidence on the accuracy of structured professional and actuarial violence risk judgments in a sample of forensic psychiatric patients
Mid Sweden University, Faculty of Human Sciences, Department of Health Sciences.
2003 (English)In: Law and human behavior, ISSN 0147-7307, E-ISSN 1573-661X, Vol. 27, no 6, p. 573-587Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Some previous research indicates that confidence affects the accuracy of probabilistic clinical ratings of risk for violence among civil psychiatric inpatients. The current study investigated the impact of confidence on actuarial and structured professional risk assessments, in a forensic psychiatric population, using community violence as the outcome criteria. Raters completed the HCR-20 violence risk assessment scheme for a sample of 100 forensic psychiatric patients. Results showed that accuracy of both actuarial judgments (HCR-20 total scores) and structured professional judgments (of low, moderate, and high risk) were substantially more accurate when raters were more confident about their judgments. Findings suggest that confidence of ratings should be studied as a potentially important mediator of structured professional and actuarial risk judgments.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2003. Vol. 27, no 6, p. 573-587
National Category
Other Legal Research Criminology
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URN: urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-13635ISI: 000186731900002Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-0347525794OAI: oai:DiVA.org:miun-13635DiVA, id: diva2:411826
Available from: 2011-04-19 Created: 2011-04-19 Last updated: 2025-09-25Bibliographically approved

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Douglas, K S

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