Mittuniversitetet

miun.sePublikationer
Ändra sökning
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Time Series Analysis Performed on Nephropathia Epidemica in Humans of Northern Sweden in Relation to Bank Vole Population Dynamic and the NAO Index
Mittuniversitetet, Fakulteten för naturvetenskap, teknik och medier, Institutionen för naturvetenskap, teknik och matematik.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-1894-6059
2009 (Engelska)Ingår i: Zoonoses and public health, ISSN 1863-1959, Vol. 56, nr 3, s. 150-156Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Zoonotic diseases are likely to be affected by climate variations but to reveal such dependence long time series extending over several decades are required. Human cases of Hantavirus infection in Northern Sweden shows regular peaks that occurs every fourth year and the virus is associated with the bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus). From a perspective of climate change it is important to analyse variations in bank vole population size and human disease incidence and how these interactions is affected by climate forcing. Here I show that a time lag of two years exist between NAO index and response in the vole population and human disease incidence. In some way triggers the NAO index two years previously a build up and peak in vole density and with corresponding peak in human Hantavirus disease. Likewise, high NAO index two years previously is associated with low population density of voles. The change in number of human disease cases is positively correlated to density of bank voles and both bank voles and disease peaks at a regularity of about every fourth year. Further, the time series revealed a match between NAO index, vole population and human disease cases at a longer periodicity of 8.5 years that has not been anticipated.These contrasting climate effects makes it hard to predict how a future warmer climate will affect disease dynamics in this particular system because of complex relationship between long and short term effects.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
2009. Vol. 56, nr 3, s. 150-156
Nyckelord [en]
hantavirus climate, bank vole
Nationell ämneskategori
Biologiska vetenskaper
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-6453DOI: 10.1111/j.1863-2378.2008.01162.xISI: 000263910500007PubMedID: 18771520Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-61849119172Lokalt ID: 5009OAI: oai:DiVA.org:miun-6453DiVA, id: diva2:31492
Tillgänglig från: 2008-11-29 Skapad: 2008-11-29 Senast uppdaterad: 2025-09-25Bibliografiskt granskad

Open Access i DiVA

Fulltext saknas i DiVA

Övriga länkar

Förlagets fulltextPubMedScopus

Person

Palo, Thomas

Sök vidare i DiVA

Av författaren/redaktören
Palo, Thomas
Av organisationen
Institutionen för naturvetenskap, teknik och matematik
Biologiska vetenskaper

Sök vidare utanför DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn

Altmetricpoäng

doi
pubmed
urn-nbn
Totalt: 150 träffar
RefereraExporteraLänk till posten
Permanent länk

Direktlänk
Referera
Referensformat
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Annat format
Fler format
Språk
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Annat språk
Fler språk
Utmatningsformat
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf