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Second-Order Risk Constraints in Decision Analysis
Dept. of Computer and Systems Sciences, Stockholm University.
Dept. of Computer and Systems Sciences, Stockholm University.
Mittuniversitetet, Fakulteten för naturvetenskap, teknik och medier, Avdelningen för informations- och kommunikationssystem.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-0310-0018
Dept. of Computer and Systems Sciences, Stockholm University.
2014 (engelsk)Inngår i: Axioms, ISSN 2075-1680, Vol. 3, nr 1, s. 31-45Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

Recently, representations and methods aimed at analysing decision problems where probabilities and values (utilities) are associated with distributions over them (second-order representations) have been suggested. In this paper we present an approach to how imprecise information can be modelled by means of second-order distributions and how a risk evaluation process can be elaborated by integrating procedures for numerically imprecise probabilities and utilities. We discuss some shortcomings of the use of the principle of maximising the expected utility and of utility theory in general, and offer remedies by the introduction of supplementary decision rules based on a concept of risk constraints taking advantage of second-order distributions.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Basel: MDPI , 2014. Vol. 3, nr 1, s. 31-45
Emneord [en]
Decision analysis; second-order information; risk analysis; risk constraints
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Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-21105DOI: 10.3390/axioms3010031Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84975645249Lokal ID: STCOAI: oai:DiVA.org:miun-21105DiVA, id: diva2:689682
Tilgjengelig fra: 2014-01-21 Laget: 2014-01-21 Sist oppdatert: 2025-09-25bibliografisk kontrollert

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