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Modeling Bursts In The Arrival Process To An Emergency Call Center
University of Montreal, Montréal, Canada.
Mittuniversitetet, Fakulteten för naturvetenskap, teknik och medier, Avdelningen för informationssystem och -teknologi. (RCR)ORCID-id: 0000-0001-9244-8870
Mittuniversitetet, Fakulteten för naturvetenskap, teknik och medier, Avdelningen för informationssystem och -teknologi. (RCR)
2018 (engelsk)Inngår i: Proceedings of the 2018 Winter Simulation Conference / [ed] M. Rabe, A. A. Juan, N. Mustafee, A. Skoogh, S. Jain, and B. Johansson, eds, IEEE, 2018, s. 525-- 536, artikkel-id 8632536Konferansepaper, Publicerat paper (Fagfellevurdert)
Abstract [en]

In emergency call centers (for police, firemen, ambulances) a single event can sometimes trigger many incoming calls in a short period of time. Several people may call to report the same fire or the same accident, for example. Such a sudden burst of incoming traffic can have a significant impact on the responsiveness of the call center for other events in the same period of time. We examine data from the SOS Alarm center in Sweden. We also build a stochastic model for the bursts. We show how to estimate the model parameters for each burst by maximum likelihood, how to model the multivariate distribution of those parameters using copulas, and how to simulate the burst process from this model. In our model, certain events trigger an arrival process of calls with a random time-varying rate over a finite period of time of random length.

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IEEE, 2018. s. 525-- 536, artikkel-id 8632536
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URN: urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-35611DOI: 10.1109/WSC.2018.8632536ISI: 000461414100042Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85062638955ISBN: 978-1-5386-6572-5 (digital)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:miun-35611DiVA, id: diva2:1287075
Konferanse
2018 Winter Simulation Conference, Gothenburg, Sweden, 9-12 December 2018
Tilgjengelig fra: 2019-02-08 Laget: 2019-02-08 Sist oppdatert: 2025-09-25bibliografisk kontrollert

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