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Zheng, T., Ma, H., Lu, B., Thar, K., Gidlund, M., Guizani, M. & Zhang, H. (2026). A High Performance Real-Time Traffic Prediction Method Based on Hybrid Integrated Model for High-Speed Railway Networks. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A High Performance Real-Time Traffic Prediction Method Based on Hybrid Integrated Model for High-Speed Railway Networks
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2026 (English)In: IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ISSN 1524-9050, E-ISSN 1558-0016Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Accurate mobile network traffic prediction is crucial for transit infrastructure service optimization in industrial informatization. Traditional linear models fail to capture complex non-linear dynamics, while existing deep learning methods struggle with rapid temporal changes, signal fluctuations, and diverse network conditions, limiting real-time applicability. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a hybrid model integrating Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Transformers, tailored for High-Speed Railway (HSR) environments. The proposed hybrid model is evaluated using both public datasets and a real-world HSR dataset collected through empirical field measurements, it not only achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) predictive accuracy, reducing root mean square error by 4.7% over strong baselines in the challenging HSR environment, but also delivers this performance with superior computational efficiency, achieving over 3.6 times lower inference latency than leading SOTA models. This establishes an optimal performance-to-cost ratio, demonstrating its practical value for real-time HSR systems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2026
Keywords
Transformers, Predictive models, Computational modeling, Brain modeling, Real-time systems, Feature extraction, Time series analysis, Telecommunication traffic, Data models, Computer architecture, Mobile network traffic prediction, multi-network integration, computational efficiency, CNN-transformer model
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-56847 (URN)10.1109/TITS.2026.3661965 (DOI)001696699200001 ()2-s2.0-105030702922 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2026-03-09 Created: 2026-03-09 Last updated: 2026-03-10Bibliographically approved
Ma, H., Lu, B., Zheng, T., Thar, K. & Gidlund, M. (2025). A Gated-Guided Serial CNN-Transformer Network for High-Speed Railway Traffic Prediction. In: Golatowski, F Scanzio, S Ashjaei, M Daoud, R Santos, P Amer, H (Ed.), 2025 IEEE 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS): . Paper presented at 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems-WFCS-Annual, JUN 10-13, 2025, University of Rostock, Rostock, GERMANY (pp. 305-312). IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A Gated-Guided Serial CNN-Transformer Network for High-Speed Railway Traffic Prediction
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2025 (English)In: 2025 IEEE 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS) / [ed] Golatowski, F Scanzio, S Ashjaei, M Daoud, R Santos, P Amer, H, IEEE conference proceedings, 2025, p. 305-312Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Accurate traffic forecasting in high-speed railway (HSR) systems is hindered by abrupt signal fluctuations and varied mobility scenarios. Conventional approaches that rely on fixed weighted combinations of local and global features are unable to adjust rapidly to real-time changes, resulting in suboptimal performance. To address this limitation, we propose a novel gated guided serial CNN and Transformer network (GsCT) that employs a dynamic combination mechanism implemented via a multilayer perceptron (MLP). In GsCT, CNNs capture fine-grained local variations while Transformers model long-range dependencies, and the adaptive MLP-based gating module adjusts the contribution of each branch based on time-window statistics. This dynamic fusion improves prediction quality by 6.5% compared to conventional fixed weighting mechanisms. Evaluations on both public and real-world HSR datasets demonstrate that GsCT achieves a 2.4% reduction in RMSE relative to LSTM-based methods, and the learned gating coefficients offer transparent interpretability of the feature fusion process. Overall, GsCT provides an effective solution for real-time railway traffic forecasting, paving the way for next-generation HSR services.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2025
Series
IEEE International Workshop on Factory Communication Systems, ISSN 2835-8511
Keywords
High-speed railway networks, Gated CNN-Transformer, Dynamic gating mechanism, CNN-Transformer model
National Category
Transport Systems and Logistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-55640 (URN)10.1109/WFCS63373.2025.11077652 (DOI)001556391900051 ()2-s2.0-105012248675 (Scopus ID)979-8-3315-3006-8 (ISBN)
Conference
21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems-WFCS-Annual, JUN 10-13, 2025, University of Rostock, Rostock, GERMANY
Available from: 2025-10-03 Created: 2025-10-03 Last updated: 2025-10-03Bibliographically approved
Ericson, A., Thar, K. & Forsström, S. (2025). Enhancing Intrusion Detection in CPS and IIoT with Lightweight Explainable AI Models. In: Golatowski, F Scanzio, S Ashjaei, M Daoud, R Santos, P Amer, H (Ed.), 2025 IEEE 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS): . Paper presented at 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems-WFCS-Annual, JUN 10-13, 2025, University of Rostock, Rostock, GERMANY (pp. 297-304). IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Enhancing Intrusion Detection in CPS and IIoT with Lightweight Explainable AI Models
2025 (English)In: 2025 IEEE 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS) / [ed] Golatowski, F Scanzio, S Ashjaei, M Daoud, R Santos, P Amer, H, IEEE conference proceedings, 2025, p. 297-304Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Integrating cyber-physical systems and the Internet of Things into industrial operations has significantly improved automation, efficiency, and data-driven decision making. However, these advances have also made industrial environments more vulnerable to cybersecurity risks. Our previous work explored lightweight deep learning models for real-time intrusion detection systems on edge devices, yet these models often operate as black boxes, limiting their trustworthiness. This issue is especially critical in the European Union, where the AI Act mandates transparency, accountability, and human oversight for AI solutions to be interpretable. In this paper, we integrate explainable AI solutions into lightweight real-time intrusion detection systems on edge devices to enhance the transparency and interpretability of black-box models. The study demonstrates that integrating SHapley Additive exPlanations significantly enhances the interpretability of intrusion detection systems, providing more transparent insights into model decision-making processes while maintaining accuracy and computational efficiency. This work contributes to the development of more secure and trustworthy industrial ecosystems by improving the effectiveness and reliability of intrusion detection.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2025
Series
IEEE International Workshop on Factory Communication Systems, ISSN 2835-8511
Keywords
Explainable AI, Cyber-Physical Systems, Industrial Internet of Things, Intrusion Detection Systems, Edge Computing, TensorFlow Lite, Machine Learning, IoT Security
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-55638 (URN)10.1109/WFCS63373.2025.11077567 (DOI)001556391900050 ()2-s2.0-105012243067 (Scopus ID)979-8-3315-3006-8 (ISBN)
Conference
21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems-WFCS-Annual, JUN 10-13, 2025, University of Rostock, Rostock, GERMANY
Available from: 2025-10-03 Created: 2025-10-03 Last updated: 2025-10-03Bibliographically approved
Ericson, A., Gaber, A., Heil, S., Forsström, S., Thar, K. & Gaedke, M. (2025). Evaluating Trust-Related Principles in an Implemented Distributed Edge AI System. In: 20th Swedish National Computer Networking and Cloud Computing Workshop (SNCNW 2025): . Paper presented at SNCNW 2025, University West, Trollhättan, Sweden, June 10–11, 2025.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Evaluating Trust-Related Principles in an Implemented Distributed Edge AI System
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2025 (English)In: 20th Swedish National Computer Networking and Cloud Computing Workshop (SNCNW 2025), 2025Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The fast expansion of AI within distributed computing environments emphasizes questions about trustworthiness, particularly in contexts involving sensitive data and resource- constrained edge devices. To address this, we implement and evaluate a lightweight federated learning intrusion detection system in a realistic smart home scenario that combines TensorFlow Lite inference on edge devices, MQTT-based publishing, and co- ordinated training via the Flower framework. By operationalizing a previously proposed taxonomy and ontology of trustworthy AI in distributed systems, the implementation in this paper demonstrates how key trust dimensions, such as data integrity, model reliability, and process transparency, can be realized in edge environments. Our implementation utilizes local inference with TensorFlow Lite on IoT devices and coordinated federated evaluation via the Flower framework. We also introduce a trust score to quantify how the implementation aligns with the trust principles. The results indicate that the trust mechanisms are maintained without compromising accuracy or loss, contributing to practical insights into the application of theoretical trust frameworks within distributed AI systems.

Keywords
AI, Trustworthy AI, Distributed systems, Edge AI, Federated Learning, Intrusion detection
National Category
Artificial Intelligence Computer Sciences Networked, Parallel and Distributed Computing
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-55206 (URN)
Conference
SNCNW 2025, University West, Trollhättan, Sweden, June 10–11, 2025
Available from: 2025-07-28 Created: 2025-07-28 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Formis, G., Ericson, A., Forsström, S., Thar, K., Cena, G. & Scanzio, S. (2025). Improving Wi-Fi Network Performance Prediction with Deep Learning Models. In: 2025 IEEE 34TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON INDUSTRIAL ELECTRONICS, ISIE: . Paper presented at 34th International Symposium on Industrial Electronics-ISIE-Annual, JUN 20-23, 2025, Toronto, CANADA. IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Improving Wi-Fi Network Performance Prediction with Deep Learning Models
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2025 (English)In: 2025 IEEE 34TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON INDUSTRIAL ELECTRONICS, ISIE, IEEE conference proceedings, 2025Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The increasing need for robustness, reliability, and determinism in wireless networks for industrial and missioncritical applications is the driver for the growth of new innovative methods. The study presented in this work makes use of machine learning techniques to predict channel quality in a Wi-Fi network in terms of the frame delivery ratio. Predictions can be used proactively to adjust communication parameters at runtime and optimize network operations for industrial applications. Methods including convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory were analyzed on datasets acquired from a real Wi-Fi setup across multiple channels. The models were compared in terms of prediction accuracy and computational complexity. Results show that the frame delivery ratio can be reliably predicted, and convolutional neural networks, although slightly less effective than other models, are more efficient in terms of CPU usage and memory consumption. This enhances the model's usability on embedded and industrial systems.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2025
Series
Proceedings of the IEEE International Symposium on Industrial Electronics, ISSN 2163-5137
Keywords
Wi-Fi, Channel quality prediction, Machine Learning, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Recurrent Neural Networks, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM)
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-56057 (URN)10.1109/ISIE62713.2025.111124605 (DOI)001572098000010 ()979-8-3503-7480-3 (ISBN)
Conference
34th International Symposium on Industrial Electronics-ISIE-Annual, JUN 20-23, 2025, Toronto, CANADA
Available from: 2025-11-28 Created: 2025-11-28 Last updated: 2025-11-28Bibliographically approved
Formis, G., Ericson, A., Forsström, S., Thar, K., Cena, G. & Scanzio, S. (2025). On the Prediction of Wi-Fi Performance through Deep Learning. In: Golatowski, F Scanzio, S Ashjaei, M Daoud, R Santos, P Amer, H (Ed.), 2025 IEEE 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS): . Paper presented at 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems-WFCS-Annual, JUN 10-13, 2025, University of Rostock, Rostock, GERMANY (pp. 79-82). IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>On the Prediction of Wi-Fi Performance through Deep Learning
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2025 (English)In: 2025 IEEE 21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS) / [ed] Golatowski, F Scanzio, S Ashjaei, M Daoud, R Santos, P Amer, H, IEEE conference proceedings, 2025, p. 79-82Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Ensuring reliable and predictable communications is one of the main goals in modern industrial systems that rely on Wi-Fi networks, especially in scenarios where continuity of operation and low latency are required. In these contexts, the ability to predict changes in wireless channel quality can enable adaptive strategies and significantly improve system robustness. This contribution focuses on the prediction of the Frame Delivery Ratio (FDR), a key metric that represents the percentage of successful transmissions, starting from time sequences of binary outcomes (success/failure) collected in a real scenario. The analysis focuses on two models of deep learning: a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and a Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM), both selected for their ability to predict the outcome of time sequences. Models are compared in terms of prediction accuracy and computational complexity, with the aim of evaluating their applicability to systems with limited resources. Preliminary results show that both models are able to predict the evolution of the FDR with good accuracy, even from minimal information (a single binary sequence). In particular, CNN shows a significantly lower inference latency, with a marginal loss in accuracy compared to LSTM.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2025
Series
IEEE International Workshop on Factory Communication Systems, ISSN 2835-8511
Keywords
Wi-Fi, Channel quality prediction, Machine Learning, Recurrent Neural Networks, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-55639 (URN)10.1109/WFCS63373.2025.11077657 (DOI)001556391900017 ()2-s2.0-105012244857 (Scopus ID)979-8-3315-3006-8 (ISBN)
Conference
21st International Conference on Factory Communication Systems-WFCS-Annual, JUN 10-13, 2025, University of Rostock, Rostock, GERMANY
Available from: 2025-10-03 Created: 2025-10-03 Last updated: 2025-10-03Bibliographically approved
Talebian, H., Mahmood, A., Nikonowicz, J., Thar, K. & Gidlund, M. (2024). An Ensemble ML Model Design to Classify LOS/NLOS in 5G-NR InF Propagation Environment. In: Proceedings GLOBECOM 2024: . Paper presented at IEEE Global Communications Conference, Cape Town, South Africa, Dec. 2024. IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>An Ensemble ML Model Design to Classify LOS/NLOS in 5G-NR InF Propagation Environment
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2024 (English)In: Proceedings GLOBECOM 2024, IEEE conference proceedings, 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Classifying channels into line of sight (LOS) and non-line of sight (NLOS) is essential for accurate ranging/positioning, which underpins all fundamental measurements of time, angle, and carrier phase. Although several statistical and data-driven LOS/NLOS methods are examined in the literature, the heterogeneous parallel ensemble learning (EL), which offers computational efficiency and effectively addresses overfitting issues, has not been investigated, especially for 5G New Radio (5G-NR) positioning signals in indoor factory (InF) channel conditions. In this paper, we address this gap by a) extracting the statistical features of the received positioning reference signal (PRS) in a raytracing-based indoor factory (InF) propagation environment and b) designing a stacking ensemble learning to predict LOS/NLOS channels using these features. Our results indicate that double-level heterogeneous parallel EL outperforms the single-level classification even when sequential or homogeneous EL (boosting) classifiers are compared, both in terms of model performance metrics and prediction accuracy since the worst true LOS and NLOS label prediction is more than 90% and 80%, respectively. Moreover, EL offers a straightforward solution to classifying imbalanced binary samples by employing an internal cross-validation (CV) algorithm for model evaluation. Thus, it can be considered a novel ML-assisted 5G-NR positioning accuracy enhancement (PAE) method.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2024
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-53853 (URN)10.1109/GCWkshp64532.2024.11101078 (DOI)001566406000249 ()979-8-3315-0567-7 (ISBN)
Conference
IEEE Global Communications Conference, Cape Town, South Africa, Dec. 2024
Available from: 2025-02-21 Created: 2025-02-21 Last updated: 2025-11-21Bibliographically approved
Zhang, J., Zheng, T., Lu, B., Yin, H., Thar, K., Gidlund, M. & Guizani, M. (2024). Enhancing Training Efficiency for Cloud-Edge Collaboration in the Industrial Internet of Things: A Transmission-Centric Approach. In: 2024 IEEE 22nd International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN): . Paper presented at IEEE International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN). IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Enhancing Training Efficiency for Cloud-Edge Collaboration in the Industrial Internet of Things: A Transmission-Centric Approach
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2024 (English)In: 2024 IEEE 22nd International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN), IEEE conference proceedings, 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

With the development of intelligent edge computing (IEC) in industrial IoT (IIoT), there is a growing number of service providers trying to leverage computing resources in the cloud and at the edge to meet the users’ demand for low latency and high reliability in diversified applications. This evolving landscape necessitates innovative approaches to manage and process the vast amounts of data generated by IIoT devices. Among these approaches, distributed learning frameworks, such as federated learning (FL), have emerged as popular solutions. However, compared to computing, communication remains the primary bottleneck that constrains the speed of federated model training. Most of the previous solutions have focused on reducing communication overhead. Differently, we propose a transmission-centric approach by designing an efficient communication architecture for FL with cloud-edge collaboration, specifically aimed at enhancing communication capabilities through multi-path transmission. We deploy this FL system in a real environment and conduct extensive testing. The results demonstrate that the new approach can significantly reduce communication time in FL setting, thereby enhancing model aggregation efficiency and shortening the overall training duration. Compared to conventional single-path transmission, the proposed solution improves training efficiency by up to 26.4%. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2024
Keywords
communication efficiency, federated learning, intelligent edge computing, multi-path transmission
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-53686 (URN)10.1109/INDIN58382.2024.10774270 (DOI)2-s2.0-85215517750 (Scopus ID)9798331527471 (ISBN)
Conference
IEEE International Conference on Industrial Informatics (INDIN)
Available from: 2025-01-28 Created: 2025-01-28 Last updated: 2025-09-25Bibliographically approved
Ericson, A., Forsström, S. & Thar, K. (2024). IIoT Intrusion Detection using Lightweight Deep Learning Models on Edge Devices. In: 2024 IEEE 20th International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS): . Paper presented at IEEE 20th International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS), Toulouse, April 17-19, 2024. IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>IIoT Intrusion Detection using Lightweight Deep Learning Models on Edge Devices
2024 (English)In: 2024 IEEE 20th International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS), IEEE conference proceedings, 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

In the rapidly evolving cybersecurity landscape, detecting and preventing network attacks has become crucial within the industrial sector. This study aims to explore the potential of intrusion detection by employing deep learning within edge computing, especially for the Industrial Internet of Things. Specifically, TinyML converted CNN, LSTM, Transformer-LSTM, and GCN models on the UNSW-NB15 dataset. A comprehensive dataset analysis gained insights into the nature of attack behavior data. Subsequently, a comparative analysis in an edge computing setup using Raspberry Pi units revealed that the GCN model, with its accuracy of 97.5%, was the best suited of the compared models for this application. However, the study also explored variables like time consumption, where the CNN model was the fastest out of the compared models. This research also highlights the need for continued exploration, especially in addressing dataset imbalances and enhancing model generalizability. By recognizing each model's strengths and areas of improvement, this research serves as a step toward bolstering digital safety and security in an increasingly interconnected industrial world.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2024
National Category
Computer Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-51534 (URN)10.1109/wfcs60972.2024.10540991 (DOI)001239586400026 ()2-s2.0-85195372403 (Scopus ID)979-8-3503-1934-7 (ISBN)
Conference
IEEE 20th International Conference on Factory Communication Systems (WFCS), Toulouse, April 17-19, 2024
Available from: 2024-06-17 Created: 2024-06-17 Last updated: 2026-03-12Bibliographically approved
Liu, B., Zheng, T., Thar, K., Gidlund, M., Ma, X., Lei, B., . . . Guizani, M. (2024). Intelligent Traffic-Service Mapping of Network for Advanced Industrial IoT Edge Computing. In: IEEE International Workshop on Factory Communication Systems - Proceedings, WFCS: . Paper presented at 20th IEEE International Conference on Factory Communication Systems, WFCS 2024. IEEE conference proceedings
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Intelligent Traffic-Service Mapping of Network for Advanced Industrial IoT Edge Computing
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2024 (English)In: IEEE International Workshop on Factory Communication Systems - Proceedings, WFCS, IEEE conference proceedings, 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

The increasing number of IoT devices in the network brings new challenges to the network carrying capacity of intelligent edge computing, and the complicated network services make the demand for network resources in industrial production scenarios or ordinary network users often exceed the carrying capacity of the edge computing network. To alleviate this problem, this paper proposes an intelligent edge computing architecture that introduces network service identification, extracts and analyses the data characteristics of network traffic, and designs appropriate algorithms to classify network traffic into six different service types. This enables real-time and computing-requiring tasks to be prioritised in the network. Using two machine learning algorithms, KNN and MLP, a model validation is carried out on the constructed dataset, and the results show the effectiveness of the method, with the correct rate of data validation reaching 85%, which is more than 5% higher than the correct rate of direct classification of the specified applications, and the accuracy can be as high as 97% in certain scenarios. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
IEEE conference proceedings, 2024
Keywords
Explainable AI, Intelligent edge computing, Machine learning, Network service perception
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-51553 (URN)10.1109/WFCS60972.2024.10540782 (DOI)001239586400003 ()2-s2.0-85195399140 (Scopus ID)9798350319347 (ISBN)
Conference
20th IEEE International Conference on Factory Communication Systems, WFCS 2024
Available from: 2024-06-18 Created: 2024-06-18 Last updated: 2026-03-12Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0001-9390-6511

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