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Modelling and Simulation of Systems with Multi-level Anticipation and Retardation
Mid Sweden University, Faculty of Science, Technology and Media, Department of Information Technology and Media.
2005 (English)In: Proceedings of the 10th International Workshop on Computer Aided Systems Theory, 2005, 2005Conference paper, (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

n practice managers often anticipate future situations in their present time decision making.In theory however, mathematical models proposed in the literature very often do not take this anticipatory dimension into account. In this paper, by applying computer aided system technique (CAST), ways of extending that classical modelling techniques to include anticipation and retardation are demonstrated. The work is based on a cybernetic management model dealing with multi-level actions and decision-making on operative, strategic, and normative planning levels. Hence, by developing a multi-level management model with anticipation and delay and implementing it as a computer based simulation tool we have been able to advance the state of the art. The simulations show different behaviours, varying from stable fixed point to completely chaotic, depending on the values of the parameters. The introduction of retardation leads to a less stable solution while the effect of anticipation is to render the system more stable.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2005.
Keyword [en]
Modelling, Anticipation, Retardation, Simulation, Multi level
National Category
Computer and Information Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-3733Local ID: 3973OAI: oai:DiVA.org:miun-3733DiVA: diva2:28765
Available from: 2008-09-30 Created: 2008-09-30 Last updated: 2011-04-06Bibliographically approved

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Holmberg, Stig C.
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  • apa
  • ieee
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