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Measuring Conflicts Using Cardinal Ranking: An Application to Decision Analytic Conflict Evaluations
Inst. för data- och systemvetenskap, Stockholms universitet.
Mid Sweden University, Faculty of Science, Technology and Media, Department of Information Systems and Technology. Stockholms Universitet.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0310-0018
Inst. för data- och systemvetenskap, Stockholms universitet; International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis, IIASA, Austria .
Inst. för data- och systemvetenskap, Stockholms universitet; International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis, IIASA, Austria.
2018 (English)In: Advances in Operations Research, ISSN 1687-9147, E-ISSN 1687-9155, Vol. 2018, article id 8290434Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

One of the core complexities involved in evaluating decision alternatives in the area of public decision-making is to deal with conflicts. The stakeholders affected by and involved in the decision often have conflicting preferences regarding the actions under consideration. For an executive authority, these differences of opinion can be problematic, during both implementation and communication, even though the decision is rational with respect to an attribute set perceived to represent social welfare. It is therefore important to involve the stakeholders in the process and to get an understanding of their preferences. Otherwise, the stakeholder disagreement can lead to costly conflicts. One way of approaching this problem is to provide means for comprehensive, yet effective stakeholder preference elicitation methods, where the stakeholders can state their preferences with respect to actions part of the current agenda of a government. In this paper we contribute two supporting methods: (i) an application of the cardinal ranking (CAR) method for preference elicitation for conflict evaluations and (ii) two conflict indices for measuring stakeholder conflicts. The application of the CAR method utilizes a do nothing alternative to differentiate between positive and negative actions. The elicited preferences can then be used as input to the two conflict indices indicating the level of conflict within a stakeholder group or between two stakeholder groups. The contributed methods are demonstrated in a real-life example carried out in the municipality of Upplands Väsby, Sweden. We show how a questionnaire can be used to elicit preferences with CAR and how the indices can be used to semantically describe the level of consensus and conflict regarding a certain attribute. As such, we show how the methods can provide decision aid in the clarification of controversies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Hindawi Publishing Corporation, 2018. Vol. 2018, article id 8290434
Keywords [en]
Urban planning, decision analysis, conflict analysis
National Category
Information Systems, Social aspects
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:miun:diva-34552DOI: 10.1155/2018/8290434ISI: 000446812600001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85056494330OAI: oai:DiVA.org:miun-34552DiVA, id: diva2:1251858
Funder
Swedish Research Council FormasAvailable from: 2018-09-28 Created: 2018-09-28 Last updated: 2018-12-10Bibliographically approved

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Publisher's full textScopushttps://www.hindawi.com/journals/aor/2018/8290434/

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Larsson, Aron

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